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B&S Group S.A. (BSGR.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.49 - $24.76$18.94
Multi-Stage$27.40 - $30.14$28.74
Blended Fair Value$23.84
Current Price$5.86
Upside306.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.21%0.00%0.160.120.180.100.000.290.420.770.520.28
YoY Growth--33.32%-33.33%80.00%0.00%-100.00%-30.95%-45.12%48.01%85.21%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.86%3.26%3.74%1.41%0.00%3.03%3.20%5.30%3.58%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)74.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.6012.257.35
Cash Retained (M)74.4274.4274.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.60-12.25-7.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.8362.1767.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.8183.8183.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.650.740.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.650.740.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.941.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Fair Value$14.49$18.94$24.76
Upside / Downside147.21%223.21%322.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.9998.8799.75100.64101.54102.44105.52
Payout Ratio24.05%37.24%50.43%63.62%76.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.5736.8250.3164.0377.9992.2097.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Year 1 PV (M)34.2834.6234.97
Year 2 PV (M)43.6144.4845.37
Year 3 PV (M)51.6753.2454.84
Year 4 PV (M)58.6060.9963.44
Year 5 PV (M)64.5067.8071.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,043.262,147.612,256.17
Equity Value (M)2,295.932,408.742,526.01
Shares Outstanding (M)83.8183.8183.81
Fair Value$27.40$28.74$30.14
Upside / Downside367.49%390.46%414.34%

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