Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (BRIS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,213.07 - $7,147.12$4,638.42
Multi-Stage$2,295.38 - $2,508.15$2,399.83
Blended Fair Value$3,519.13
Current Price$2,590.00
Upside35.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS140.38%0.00%18.559.2416.410.005.520.230.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.83%-43.73%0.00%-100.00%2,290.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.36%0.98%0.00%0.25%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,467,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,050,883.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,493,515.60933,447.25560,068.35
Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.006,416,695.006,416,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,493,515.60-933,447.25-560,068.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,923,179.405,483,247.755,856,626.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
LTM Dividend per Share22.7822.7822.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend129.50141.65149.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,213.07$4,638.42$7,147.12
Upside / Downside24.06%79.09%175.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,467,578.007,952,970.578,469,913.669,020,458.049,606,787.8210,231,229.0310,538,165.90
Payout Ratio14.07%29.26%44.44%59.63%74.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,050,883.002,326,887.023,764,331.585,378,812.837,187,272.359,208,106.129,747,803.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,100,219.892,120,127.182,140,034.48
Year 2 PV (M)3,066,668.353,125,079.763,184,042.23
Year 3 PV (M)3,955,076.084,068,612.104,184,300.40
Year 4 PV (M)4,770,039.564,953,481.825,142,164.90
Year 5 PV (M)5,515,916.265,782,337.086,058,954.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,478,155.0190,655,082.2394,991,870.29
Equity Value (M)105,886,075.15110,704,720.19115,701,366.76
Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
Fair Value$2,295.38$2,399.83$2,508.15
Upside / Downside-11.38%-7.34%-3.16%

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