Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Batavia Prosperindo Internasional Tbk (BPII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.38 - $124.81$105.74
Multi-Stage$134.77 - $148.09$141.30
Blended Fair Value$123.52
Current Price$550.00
Upside-77.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%10.055.456.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--84.40%-9.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.88%1.03%1.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126,635.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,935.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)104,699.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25,327.0115,829.389,497.63
Cash Retained (M)104,699.31104,699.31104,699.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-25,327.01-15,829.38-9,497.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)79,372.2988,869.9295,201.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,884.849,884.849,884.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.038.999.63
LTM Dividend per Share2.222.222.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.038.999.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.2511.2111.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$87.38$105.74$124.81
Upside / Downside-84.11%-80.77%-77.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126,635.07125,368.72124,115.03122,873.88121,645.14120,428.69124,041.55
Payout Ratio17.32%31.86%46.39%60.93%75.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,935.7639,939.4957,580.9674,865.6091,798.79108,385.82114,738.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36,107.6936,476.1336,844.58
Year 2 PV (M)47,062.2948,027.6549,002.80
Year 3 PV (M)55,318.9057,029.6858,775.37
Year 4 PV (M)61,323.2763,864.8366,484.59
Year 5 PV (M)65,457.2868,865.7972,414.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,066,899.851,122,455.801,180,302.36
Equity Value (M)1,332,169.281,396,719.881,463,824.53
Shares Outstanding (M)9,884.849,884.849,884.84
Fair Value$134.77$141.30$148.09
Upside / Downside-75.50%-74.31%-73.07%

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