Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.57 - $55.57$47.52
Multi-Stage$55.18 - $60.66$57.87
Blended Fair Value$52.69
Current Price$9.60
Upside448.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.070.220.001.024.140.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-67.82%0.00%-100.00%-75.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.29%0.19%0.00%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)43.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.755.473.28
Cash Retained (M)43.0343.0343.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.75-5.47-3.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.2837.5639.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.926.926.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.955.425.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.955.425.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.055.535.84
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$39.57$47.52$55.57
Upside / Downside312.17%394.97%478.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)43.7343.2942.8642.4342.0141.5942.84
Payout Ratio1.61%19.29%36.97%54.65%72.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.718.3515.8523.1930.3837.4339.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7.487.567.63
Year 2 PV (M)12.7112.9713.24
Year 3 PV (M)16.6617.1817.71
Year 4 PV (M)19.5620.3721.20
Year 5 PV (M)21.5822.7123.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)304.09319.92336.41
Equity Value (M)382.09400.71420.07
Shares Outstanding (M)6.926.926.92
Fair Value$55.18$57.87$60.66
Upside / Downside474.78%502.79%531.91%

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