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PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30,407.13 - $109,727.12$96,746.41
Multi-Stage$14,451.93 - $15,781.49$15,104.65
Blended Fair Value$55,925.53
Current Price$4,400.00
Upside1,171.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.03%19.72%353.96264.67180.18110.05177.49120.6199.5166.5765.3653.23
YoY Growth--33.74%46.89%63.72%-38.00%47.17%21.20%49.49%1.84%22.80%-9.03%
Dividend Yield--6.81%3.84%3.49%2.79%5.77%5.15%2.68%1.73%2.23%2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51,495,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43,510,539.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,984,991.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,299,106.006,436,941.253,862,164.75
Cash Retained (M)7,984,991.007,984,991.007,984,991.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,299,106.00-6,436,941.25-3,862,164.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,314,115.001,548,049.754,122,826.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93,333.1193,333.1193,333.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-24.7916.5944.17
LTM Dividend per Share466.19466.19466.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-24.7916.5944.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend441.39482.77510.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30,407.13$96,746.41$109,727.12
Upside / Downside591.07%2,098.78%2,393.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51,495,530.0054,842,739.4558,407,517.5162,204,006.1566,247,266.5570,553,338.8872,669,939.04
Payout Ratio84.49%85.60%86.70%87.80%88.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43,510,539.0046,942,672.3350,637,150.9654,613,579.0358,893,000.7863,498,004.9967,219,693.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)43,446,948.6743,858,768.0944,270,587.51
Year 2 PV (M)43,376,270.2244,202,466.3445,036,456.75
Year 3 PV (M)43,298,719.5244,541,670.1645,808,183.14
Year 4 PV (M)43,214,507.7044,876,415.7146,585,803.27
Year 5 PV (M)43,123,841.2445,206,738.9047,369,353.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,132,383,081.151,187,077,607.391,243,865,421.89
Equity Value (M)1,348,843,368.501,409,763,666.581,472,935,806.50
Shares Outstanding (M)93,333.1193,333.1193,333.11
Fair Value$14,451.93$15,104.65$15,781.49
Upside / Downside228.45%243.29%258.67%

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