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Definitive Analysis

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BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S. (BIMAS.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,481.44 - $4,835.13$4,531.23
Multi-Stage$764.46 - $836.12$799.64
Blended Fair Value$2,665.43
Current Price$494.75
Upside438.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS49.32%40.31%12.055.763.086.060.511.620.960.760.560.46
YoY Growth--109.05%87.38%-49.23%1,088.79%-68.60%69.28%25.94%35.99%22.16%12.48%
Dividend Yield--2.70%1.59%2.07%7.16%0.72%3.24%2.50%2.12%2.00%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,481.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,400.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,080.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,896.341,810.211,086.13
Cash Retained (M)5,080.845,080.845,080.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,896.34-1,810.21-1,086.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,184.503,270.633,994.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)595.65595.65595.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.675.496.71
LTM Dividend per Share15.7815.7815.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.675.496.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.4521.2722.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,481.44$4,531.23$4,835.13
Upside / Downside401.55%815.86%877.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,481.6815,422.9916,425.4917,493.1418,630.2019,841.1620,436.39
Payout Ratio64.92%69.93%74.95%79.97%84.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,400.8510,785.6612,310.7813,988.6015,832.5217,857.0418,903.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,048.6210,143.8610,239.11
Year 2 PV (M)10,685.7410,889.2811,094.73
Year 3 PV (M)11,312.3511,637.0911,967.98
Year 4 PV (M)11,928.5712,387.3112,859.15
Year 5 PV (M)12,534.5113,139.9413,768.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)398,841.89418,106.10438,107.60
Equity Value (M)455,351.68476,303.57498,037.10
Shares Outstanding (M)595.65595.65595.65
Fair Value$764.46$799.64$836.12
Upside / Downside54.51%61.62%69.00%

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