Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Australian United Investment Company Limited (AUI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.97 - $28.63$19.59
Multi-Stage$17.59 - $19.27$18.41
Blended Fair Value$19.00
Current Price$11.00
Upside72.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.48%4.42%0.420.350.350.330.330.330.330.320.310.28
YoY Growth--19.29%1.03%3.66%-0.32%-0.02%0.24%4.47%1.63%13.07%2.82%
Dividend Yield--3.79%3.38%3.53%3.56%3.29%4.16%3.67%3.70%3.89%3.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)100.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.1812.617.57
Cash Retained (M)36.4036.4036.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.18-12.61-7.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.2223.7928.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)125.61125.61125.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.190.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.190.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Fair Value$13.97$19.59$28.63
Upside / Downside27.03%78.11%160.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)100.91104.36107.92111.61115.42119.37122.95
Payout Ratio63.93%69.14%74.36%79.57%84.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64.5172.1580.2588.8197.86107.43113.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Year 1 PV (M)66.7067.3568.00
Year 2 PV (M)68.5869.9271.28
Year 3 PV (M)70.1672.2474.35
Year 4 PV (M)71.4774.3177.22
Year 5 PV (M)72.5376.1479.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,860.561,953.182,049.46
Equity Value (M)2,210.002,313.142,420.22
Shares Outstanding (M)125.61125.61125.61
Fair Value$17.59$18.41$19.27
Upside / Downside59.94%67.41%75.16%

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