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Fountaine Pajot S.A. (ALFPC.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - Recreational VehiclesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,049.87 - $6,008.46$1,970.47
Multi-Stage$605.38 - $662.36$633.35
Blended Fair Value$1,301.91
Current Price$102.00
Upside1,176.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.21%27.09%2.192.001.831.631.681.411.190.880.590.30
YoY Growth--9.44%9.34%12.59%-3.21%19.15%18.89%34.65%50.12%95.82%50.29%
Dividend Yield--2.16%1.69%1.80%1.39%2.52%1.45%0.84%1.07%1.44%0.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.066.293.77
Cash Retained (M)42.3842.3842.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.06-6.29-3.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.3236.0938.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.671.671.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share19.4021.6723.18
LTM Dividend per Share4.774.774.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share19.4021.6723.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.1726.4427.95
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,049.87$1,970.47$6,008.46
Upside / Downside929.28%1,831.83%5,790.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.3253.5957.0860.7964.7468.9571.02
Payout Ratio15.78%30.63%45.47%60.31%75.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.9416.4125.9536.6648.6662.0565.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15.0715.2115.35
Year 2 PV (M)21.8622.2822.70
Year 3 PV (M)28.3529.1629.99
Year 4 PV (M)34.5335.8637.22
Year 5 PV (M)40.4242.3744.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)868.12910.05953.58
Equity Value (M)1,008.351,054.931,103.25
Shares Outstanding (M)1.671.671.67
Fair Value$605.38$633.35$662.36
Upside / Downside493.51%520.93%549.37%

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