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Clasquin S.A. (ALCLA.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,112.36 - $2,664.76$2,497.27
Multi-Stage$393.65 - $430.69$411.83
Blended Fair Value$1,454.55
Current Price$134.00
Upside985.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS51.94%24.06%6.473.651.290.650.650.800.801.250.800.80
YoY Growth--77.45%182.73%98.80%0.00%-18.82%0.00%-35.93%56.16%-0.05%6.65%
Dividend Yield--5.24%6.12%1.70%1.77%1.85%2.66%2.28%4.39%2.32%3.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.183.862.32
Cash Retained (M)15.9815.9815.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.18-3.86-2.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.8012.1213.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.312.312.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.255.255.92
LTM Dividend per Share6.476.476.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.255.255.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.7211.7212.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,112.36$2,497.27$2,664.76
Upside / Downside730.12%1,763.64%1,888.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.9232.9235.0637.3439.7742.3643.63
Payout Ratio48.30%56.64%64.98%73.32%81.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.9318.6522.7827.3832.4838.1240.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.3417.5117.67
Year 2 PV (M)19.7120.0820.46
Year 3 PV (M)22.0222.6623.30
Year 4 PV (M)24.2925.2326.19
Year 5 PV (M)26.5227.8029.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)798.35836.91876.95
Equity Value (M)908.24950.19993.70
Shares Outstanding (M)2.312.312.31
Fair Value$393.65$411.83$430.69
Upside / Downside193.77%207.34%221.41%

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