Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Takihyo Co., Ltd. (9982.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,853.74 - $2,995.85$2,367.91
Multi-Stage$12,224.68 - $13,542.56$12,870.06
Blended Fair Value$7,618.99
Current Price$1,737.00
Upside338.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-6.21%-3.18%30.2320.6020.6020.7131.3541.6541.7641.7641.6541.76
YoY Growth--46.74%0.00%-0.54%-33.93%-24.73%-0.27%0.00%0.27%-0.27%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.91%1.84%2.18%2.01%1.73%2.45%2.36%1.78%1.83%1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,607.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)309.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,298.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)321.40200.88120.53
Cash Retained (M)1,298.001,298.001,298.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-321.40-200.88-120.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)976.601,097.131,177.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.938.938.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share109.33122.83131.82
LTM Dividend per Share34.5934.5934.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share109.33122.83131.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend143.93157.42166.42
WACC / Discount Rate2.98%2.98%2.98%
Growth Rate-4.44%-3.44%-2.44%
Fair Value$1,853.74$2,367.91$2,995.85
Upside / Downside6.72%36.32%72.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,607.001,551.651,498.221,446.621,396.801,348.691,389.15
Payout Ratio19.23%33.38%47.54%61.69%75.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)309.00517.98712.21892.441,059.411,213.821,284.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.98%2.98%2.98%
Growth Rate-4.44%-3.44%-2.44%
Year 1 PV (M)497.81503.02508.23
Year 2 PV (M)657.81671.65685.63
Year 3 PV (M)792.17817.30842.96
Year 4 PV (M)903.75942.18981.82
Year 5 PV (M)995.141,048.321,103.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)105,347.01110,975.91116,842.90
Equity Value (M)109,193.68114,958.37120,965.27
Shares Outstanding (M)8.938.938.93
Fair Value$12,224.68$12,870.06$13,542.56
Upside / Downside603.78%640.94%679.65%

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