Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SCSK Corporation (9719.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33,162.86 - $39,071.47$36,615.69
Multi-Stage$7,306.16 - $8,002.81$7,648.05
Blended Fair Value$22,131.87
Current Price$4,429.00
Upside399.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.50%15.99%65.9753.9649.2846.6043.2738.2832.4531.6227.4519.96
YoY Growth--22.27%9.48%5.76%7.70%13.03%17.97%2.64%15.16%37.53%33.36%
Dividend Yield--1.52%1.71%2.18%2.03%1.96%2.19%1.79%1.84%1.63%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61,413.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,189.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,224.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,282.607,676.634,605.98
Cash Retained (M)39,224.0039,224.0039,224.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,282.60-7,676.63-4,605.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,941.4031,547.3834,618.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)312.59312.59312.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share86.19100.92110.74
LTM Dividend per Share70.9870.9870.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share86.19100.92110.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend157.17171.90181.73
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$33,162.86$36,615.69$39,071.47
Upside / Downside648.77%726.73%782.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61,413.0065,404.8569,656.1674,183.8179,005.7684,141.1386,665.37
Payout Ratio36.13%46.90%57.68%68.45%79.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,189.0030,677.9040,176.6150,780.5462,593.2375,727.0280,165.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,728.8129,001.1229,273.43
Year 2 PV (M)35,233.6235,904.7336,582.16
Year 3 PV (M)41,703.5842,900.7444,120.60
Year 4 PV (M)48,138.8249,990.1051,894.28
Year 5 PV (M)54,539.4857,173.7659,908.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,075,517.092,175,765.342,279,850.33
Equity Value (M)2,283,861.412,390,735.792,501,629.65
Shares Outstanding (M)312.59312.59312.59
Fair Value$7,306.16$7,648.05$8,002.81
Upside / Downside64.96%72.68%80.69%

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