Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kuo Toong International Co., Ltd. (8936.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$148.94 - $668.06$346.54
Multi-Stage$97.73 - $107.04$102.30
Blended Fair Value$224.42
Current Price$53.80
Upside317.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.98%2.87%1.490.990.500.250.230.280.080.050.431.57
YoY Growth--50.00%100.00%100.00%8.20%-17.20%264.16%63.61%-89.19%-72.61%40.00%
Dividend Yield--2.78%1.24%1.76%1.13%0.57%2.04%0.35%0.25%2.05%5.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)848.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)372.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)475.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)169.60106.0063.60
Cash Retained (M)475.89475.89475.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-169.60-106.00-63.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)306.29369.89412.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.13250.13250.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.221.481.65
LTM Dividend per Share1.491.491.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.221.481.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.712.973.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Fair Value$148.94$346.54$668.06
Upside / Downside176.84%544.12%1,141.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)848.01894.79944.16996.251,051.211,109.201,142.48
Payout Ratio43.88%53.11%62.33%71.55%80.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)372.12475.18588.48712.84849.13998.281,056.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Year 1 PV (M)442.28446.51450.74
Year 2 PV (M)509.82519.62529.51
Year 3 PV (M)574.80591.45608.43
Year 4 PV (M)637.29662.03687.48
Year 5 PV (M)697.36731.36766.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,584.5322,637.0723,730.27
Equity Value (M)24,446.0725,588.0526,773.12
Shares Outstanding (M)250.13250.13250.13
Fair Value$97.73$102.30$107.04
Upside / Downside81.66%90.14%98.95%

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