Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ruentex Materials Co.,Ltd. (8463.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$221.77 - $426.37$399.57
Multi-Stage$67.07 - $73.39$70.18
Blended Fair Value$234.87
Current Price$25.25
Upside830.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.47%14.43%0.650.230.000.770.490.700.831.101.001.94
YoY Growth--182.61%0.00%-100.00%57.14%-30.00%-15.66%-24.55%10.00%-48.22%1,043.80%
Dividend Yield--2.70%0.91%0.00%2.64%1.32%2.14%3.13%6.15%4.80%9.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)320.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)165.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)155.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.0940.0524.03
Cash Retained (M)155.44155.44155.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.09-40.05-24.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)91.35115.38131.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.46149.46149.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.770.88
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.770.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.721.881.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$221.77$399.57$426.37
Upside / Downside778.31%1,482.46%1,588.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)320.44341.26363.45387.07412.23439.03452.20
Payout Ratio51.49%59.19%66.90%74.60%82.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)165.00202.01243.13288.74339.26395.12418.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)188.22190.01191.79
Year 2 PV (M)211.08215.10219.16
Year 3 PV (M)233.57240.28247.11
Year 4 PV (M)255.71265.55275.66
Year 5 PV (M)277.49290.90304.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,859.099,286.999,731.27
Equity Value (M)10,025.1810,488.8210,969.80
Shares Outstanding (M)149.46149.46149.46
Fair Value$67.07$70.18$73.39
Upside / Downside165.64%177.93%190.67%

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