Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shandong Kehui Power Automation Co.,Ltd. (688681.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81.91 - $96.51$90.44
Multi-Stage$54.68 - $60.03$57.31
Blended Fair Value$73.87
Current Price$17.16
Upside330.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.52%2.08%0.150.110.120.100.110.110.110.110.110.11
YoY Growth--43.47%-11.94%24.14%-9.85%1.63%-2.48%4.68%-0.20%-4.98%-11.71%
Dividend Yield--1.26%0.96%0.77%0.61%0.44%0.44%0.45%0.00%0.43%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.076.293.78
Cash Retained (M)34.6034.6034.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.07-6.29-3.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.5328.3030.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)103.32103.32103.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.45
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate5.08%6.08%7.08%
Fair Value$81.91$90.44$96.51
Upside / Downside377.34%427.05%462.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.3453.4056.6560.0963.7567.6369.65
Payout Ratio31.27%43.02%54.76%66.51%78.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.7422.9731.0239.9749.8960.8664.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.37%2.37%2.37%
Growth Rate5.08%6.08%7.08%
Year 1 PV (M)22.2322.4422.65
Year 2 PV (M)29.0529.6030.16
Year 3 PV (M)36.2237.2638.32
Year 4 PV (M)43.7445.4347.17
Year 5 PV (M)51.6454.1556.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,467.115,732.246,007.56
Equity Value (M)5,649.995,921.126,202.62
Shares Outstanding (M)103.32103.32103.32
Fair Value$54.68$57.31$60.03
Upside / Downside218.67%233.96%249.83%

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