Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Beijing Yupont Electric Power Technology Co., Ltd. (688597.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.26 - $78.06$73.16
Multi-Stage$44.39 - $48.71$46.51
Blended Fair Value$59.83
Current Price$8.35
Upside616.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.84%7.61%0.060.100.050.170.090.090.000.030.020.05
YoY Growth---43.40%117.74%-72.57%99.41%-1.37%3,918.42%-91.17%1.57%-45.31%58.89%
Dividend Yield--0.71%1.73%0.66%2.53%1.19%1.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)55.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.9411.216.73
Cash Retained (M)55.5855.5855.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.94-11.21-6.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.6444.3748.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)228.48228.48228.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$66.26$73.16$78.06
Upside / Downside693.53%776.15%834.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89.6995.52101.73108.34115.38122.88126.57
Payout Ratio38.03%48.43%58.82%69.21%79.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.1146.2559.8374.9891.85110.59117.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)44.6445.0645.49
Year 2 PV (M)55.7356.7957.86
Year 3 PV (M)67.4069.3471.31
Year 4 PV (M)79.6882.7485.90
Year 5 PV (M)92.5997.06101.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,801.5710,274.9910,766.53
Equity Value (M)10,141.6110,625.9911,128.79
Shares Outstanding (M)228.48228.48228.48
Fair Value$44.39$46.51$48.71
Upside / Downside431.57%456.96%483.32%

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