Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Damon Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (688360.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.25 - $39.80$22.13
Multi-Stage$9.72 - $10.62$10.16
Blended Fair Value$16.14
Current Price$23.43
Upside-31.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS71.64%17.18%0.200.150.140.160.010.010.070.020.100.06
YoY Growth--36.70%6.82%-14.54%2,098.56%-45.70%-80.82%231.03%-78.15%71.52%37.72%
Dividend Yield--1.30%1.69%1.31%1.65%0.07%0.05%0.26%0.00%0.36%0.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)120.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.0615.049.02
Cash Retained (M)79.1579.1579.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.06-15.04-9.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.1064.1270.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)206.06206.06206.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.310.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.310.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.25$22.13$39.80
Upside / Downside-39.20%-5.56%69.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)120.29128.11136.43145.30154.75164.80169.75
Payout Ratio34.20%45.36%56.52%67.68%78.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.1358.1077.1198.34122.00148.32157.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52.8353.3353.83
Year 2 PV (M)63.7464.9566.18
Year 3 PV (M)73.9076.0278.18
Year 4 PV (M)83.3586.5689.86
Year 5 PV (M)92.1396.58101.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,636.941,716.011,798.10
Equity Value (M)2,002.902,093.452,187.35
Shares Outstanding (M)206.06206.06206.06
Fair Value$9.72$10.16$10.62
Upside / Downside-58.51%-56.64%-54.69%

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