Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Guangzhou Jet Bio-Filtration Co., Ltd. (688026.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.77 - $37.40$21.20
Multi-Stage$9.17 - $10.03$9.60
Blended Fair Value$15.40
Current Price$18.67
Upside-17.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%9.84%0.090.080.440.090.360.000.090.010.000.02
YoY Growth--8.84%-81.21%390.90%-75.46%0.00%-100.00%1,335.03%0.00%-100.00%-41.53%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.68%1.91%0.20%0.85%0.00%0.24%0.02%0.00%0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.869.925.95
Cash Retained (M)73.6673.6673.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.86-9.92-5.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)57.7963.7467.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)137.71137.71137.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.460.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.460.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.77$21.20$37.40
Upside / Downside-26.27%13.56%100.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.3284.4889.9795.82102.05108.68111.94
Payout Ratio7.15%23.72%40.29%56.86%73.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.6720.0436.2554.4874.9397.81103.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18.2018.3818.55
Year 2 PV (M)29.9230.4931.07
Year 3 PV (M)40.8642.0343.23
Year 4 PV (M)51.0653.0255.04
Year 5 PV (M)60.5563.4866.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,062.771,114.101,167.40
Equity Value (M)1,263.371,321.511,381.80
Shares Outstanding (M)137.71137.71137.71
Fair Value$9.17$9.60$10.03
Upside / Downside-50.86%-48.60%-46.25%

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