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Professional Computer Technology Limited (6270.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.79 - $16.10$13.32
Multi-Stage$21.52 - $23.62$22.55
Blended Fair Value$17.93
Current Price$22.40
Upside-19.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS34.17%0.00%1.002.102.001.201.300.230.970.500.500.00
YoY Growth---52.38%5.00%66.67%-7.69%465.23%-76.29%94.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.35%8.83%8.64%4.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)22.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.9711.867.11
Cash Retained (M)22.7122.7122.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.97-11.86-7.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.7410.8515.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.2772.2772.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.150.22
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.150.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.051.151.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.79$13.32$16.10
Upside / Downside-51.84%-40.56%-28.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.8593.9092.9792.0491.1290.2092.91
Payout Ratio76.06%78.85%81.64%84.42%87.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.1574.0475.8977.7079.4681.1885.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)68.1668.8569.55
Year 2 PV (M)64.3165.6366.96
Year 3 PV (M)60.6162.4864.39
Year 4 PV (M)57.0559.4261.86
Year 5 PV (M)53.6656.4559.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,251.661,316.841,384.70
Equity Value (M)1,555.441,629.671,706.82
Shares Outstanding (M)72.2772.2772.27
Fair Value$21.52$22.55$23.62
Upside / Downside-3.92%0.66%5.43%

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