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Shanghai Shuixing Home Textile Co., Ltd. (603365.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.97 - $271.55$254.47
Multi-Stage$41.92 - $45.86$43.85
Blended Fair Value$149.16
Current Price$18.36
Upside712.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.90%22.62%0.900.700.500.400.800.710.510.230.230.18
YoY Growth--28.63%38.72%25.00%-49.58%12.92%39.73%122.23%0.00%29.87%50.00%
Dividend Yield--5.99%4.10%3.79%2.62%5.47%5.30%2.60%0.92%0.99%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)361.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)72.3445.2127.13
Cash Retained (M)128.13128.13128.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-72.34-45.21-27.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.7882.91101.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)263.46263.46263.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.310.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.310.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.101.201.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Fair Value$80.97$254.47$271.55
Upside / Downside341.04%1,286.00%1,379.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)361.72383.10405.75429.74455.15482.06496.53
Payout Ratio64.58%69.66%74.75%79.83%84.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233.59266.88303.29343.07386.50433.86459.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate4.91%5.91%6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)248.61250.98253.35
Year 2 PV (M)263.18268.22273.31
Year 3 PV (M)277.32285.33293.49
Year 4 PV (M)291.04302.29313.87
Year 5 PV (M)304.34319.12334.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,658.6710,127.8510,615.09
Equity Value (M)11,043.1611,553.8012,083.58
Shares Outstanding (M)263.46263.46263.46
Fair Value$41.92$43.85$45.86
Upside / Downside128.30%138.86%149.81%

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