Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas DrillingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.33 - $0.52$0.42
Multi-Stage$1.05 - $1.16$1.11
Blended Fair Value$0.76
Current Price$2.07
Upside-63.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.68%0.07%0.040.040.030.030.040.050.030.040.020.02
YoY Growth---5.56%17.93%-1.17%-26.10%-3.27%39.33%-13.49%64.32%29.66%-50.15%
Dividend Yield--1.87%2.01%1.54%1.65%2.19%2.21%1.20%1.87%0.63%0.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)624.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)506.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)118.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.9078.0646.84
Cash Retained (M)118.50118.50118.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.90-78.06-46.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)-6.4040.4471.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18,675.1918,675.1918,675.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate5.30%5.30%5.30%
Growth Rate-2.57%-1.57%-0.57%
Fair Value$0.33$0.42$0.52
Upside / Downside-84.00%-79.74%-74.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)624.52614.74605.11595.64586.31577.13594.44
Payout Ratio81.02%82.82%84.61%86.41%88.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)506.02509.13512.02514.69517.15519.42549.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.30%5.30%5.30%
Growth Rate-2.57%-1.57%-0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)478.57483.49488.40
Year 2 PV (M)452.41461.74471.17
Year 3 PV (M)427.48440.78454.35
Year 4 PV (M)403.75420.59437.94
Year 5 PV (M)381.18401.15421.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,520.3218,438.0519,393.84
Equity Value (M)19,663.7220,645.7921,667.65
Shares Outstanding (M)18,675.1918,675.1918,675.19
Fair Value$1.05$1.11$1.16
Upside / Downside-49.13%-46.59%-43.95%

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