Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sino-Platinum Metals Co.,Ltd (600459.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Other Precious MetalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.55 - $106.98$44.03
Multi-Stage$15.60 - $17.07$16.32
Blended Fair Value$30.18
Current Price$17.27
Upside74.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.68%17.28%0.350.290.380.370.300.230.200.110.080.08
YoY Growth--20.44%-25.44%3.87%21.69%33.59%14.53%76.93%46.83%-7.64%18.12%
Dividend Yield--2.48%1.90%2.38%1.95%2.01%2.32%1.63%1.18%0.63%0.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)634.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)558.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.9679.3547.61
Cash Retained (M)558.47558.47558.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.96-79.35-47.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)431.51479.12510.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)753.44753.44753.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.640.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.670.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate8.28%8.28%8.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$25.55$44.03$106.98
Upside / Downside47.95%154.97%519.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)634.82676.08720.02766.83816.67869.75895.85
Payout Ratio12.03%27.62%43.22%58.81%74.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.35186.74311.17450.98607.65782.78828.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.28%8.28%8.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)170.84172.46174.08
Year 2 PV (M)260.42265.38270.39
Year 3 PV (M)345.29355.20365.30
Year 4 PV (M)425.62441.98458.82
Year 5 PV (M)501.59525.82550.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,050.6710,536.1211,040.15
Equity Value (M)11,754.4212,296.9612,859.71
Shares Outstanding (M)753.44753.44753.44
Fair Value$15.60$16.32$17.07
Upside / Downside-9.66%-5.49%-1.17%

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