Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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H-One Co.,Ltd. (5989.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,227.47 - $7,221.16$5,525.22
Multi-Stage$7,541.65 - $8,297.89$7,912.44
Blended Fair Value$6,718.83
Current Price$1,287.00
Upside422.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.31%-0.59%20.7118.7124.7625.7224.6925.8225.8224.8021.9121.98
YoY Growth--10.73%-24.47%-3.70%4.14%-4.37%0.00%4.12%13.18%-0.32%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.87%3.32%4.31%3.26%4.67%3.22%2.04%1.78%4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,684.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,403.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,281.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,936.801,210.50726.30
Cash Retained (M)8,281.008,281.008,281.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,936.80-1,210.50-726.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,344.207,070.507,554.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.3928.3928.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share223.48249.07266.13
LTM Dividend per Share49.4249.4249.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share223.48249.07266.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend272.91298.49315.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.08%1.08%2.08%
Fair Value$4,227.47$5,525.22$7,221.16
Upside / Downside228.47%329.31%461.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,684.009,788.309,893.7310,000.2910,108.0010,216.8810,523.38
Payout Ratio14.49%29.59%44.69%59.80%74.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,403.002,896.384,421.775,979.697,570.659,195.199,734.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.08%1.08%2.08%
Year 1 PV (M)2,691.752,718.652,745.55
Year 2 PV (M)3,819.043,895.753,973.21
Year 3 PV (M)4,799.724,945.045,093.27
Year 4 PV (M)5,647.415,876.546,112.57
Year 5 PV (M)6,374.646,699.557,037.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)190,757.80200,480.72210,596.13
Equity Value (M)214,090.36224,616.25235,558.30
Shares Outstanding (M)28.3928.3928.39
Fair Value$7,541.65$7,912.44$8,297.89
Upside / Downside485.99%514.80%544.75%

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