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Taipei Star Bank (5863.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.62 - $19.13$15.68
Multi-Stage$26.20 - $28.81$27.48
Blended Fair Value$21.58
Current Price$12.21
Upside76.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS4.15%0.00%0.250.480.480.470.490.200.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---48.57%-0.13%2.25%-4.00%143.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.06%3.44%4.81%4.59%4.92%1.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)465.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)232.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.1958.2534.95
Cash Retained (M)232.94232.94232.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.19-58.25-34.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)139.75174.70198.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)320.43320.43320.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.550.62
LTM Dividend per Share0.730.730.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.550.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.161.271.35
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.62$15.68$19.13
Upside / Downside3.39%28.46%56.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)465.96461.30456.69452.12447.60443.13456.42
Payout Ratio50.01%58.01%66.01%74.00%82.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233.02267.59301.44334.59367.04398.81422.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)247.48250.01252.53
Year 2 PV (M)257.85263.13268.48
Year 3 PV (M)264.70272.88281.24
Year 4 PV (M)268.56279.69291.16
Year 5 PV (M)269.88283.93298.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,086.707,455.727,839.96
Equity Value (M)8,395.168,805.379,231.93
Shares Outstanding (M)320.43320.43320.43
Fair Value$26.20$27.48$28.81
Upside / Downside114.57%125.06%135.96%

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