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Tailyn Technologies, Inc. (5353.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.31 - $22.56$18.08
Multi-Stage$29.35 - $32.20$30.74
Blended Fair Value$24.41
Current Price$26.25
Upside-7.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS4.86%0.00%1.441.220.920.861.371.140.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--18.33%33.33%5.88%-37.04%20.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.93%3.30%1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)105.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.1813.237.94
Cash Retained (M)8.388.388.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.18-13.23-7.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)-12.80-4.860.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.7573.7573.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.070.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.070.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-1.09%-0.09%0.91%
Fair Value$14.31$18.08$22.56
Upside / Downside-45.50%-31.12%-14.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)105.88105.78105.69105.59105.50105.40108.56
Payout Ratio92.09%91.67%91.25%90.84%90.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.5096.9796.4495.9195.3994.86100.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-1.09%-0.09%0.91%
Year 1 PV (M)89.8490.7591.66
Year 2 PV (M)82.7984.4786.17
Year 3 PV (M)76.2978.6281.01
Year 4 PV (M)70.2973.1876.15
Year 5 PV (M)64.7768.1171.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,780.471,872.311,967.91
Equity Value (M)2,164.452,267.452,374.48
Shares Outstanding (M)73.7573.7573.75
Fair Value$29.35$30.74$32.20
Upside / Downside11.80%17.12%22.65%

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