Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Sime Darby Property Berhad (5288.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.39 - $3.18$2.03
Multi-Stage$1.94 - $2.13$2.03
Blended Fair Value$2.03
Current Price$1.44
Upside41.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201820172016
DPS8.45%0.14%0.030.020.010.010.030.020.030.020.010.04
YoY Growth--50.00%100.00%0.00%-66.67%50.00%-33.33%50.00%172.03%-80.09%24.77%
Dividend Yield--2.26%2.15%2.06%1.69%4.62%3.67%2.68%1.74%0.61%3.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)478.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)204.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)274.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)95.7259.8335.90
Cash Retained (M)274.59274.59274.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-95.72-59.83-35.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)178.87214.76238.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,800.846,800.846,800.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate2.07%3.07%4.07%
Fair Value$1.39$2.03$3.18
Upside / Downside-3.31%40.94%121.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)478.61493.29508.42524.02540.09556.66573.36
Payout Ratio42.63%52.10%61.58%71.05%80.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)204.03257.02313.07372.32434.91500.99530.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate2.07%3.07%4.07%
Year 1 PV (M)239.68242.03244.38
Year 2 PV (M)272.25277.61283.03
Year 3 PV (M)301.93310.90320.03
Year 4 PV (M)328.90341.98355.44
Year 5 PV (M)353.31370.96389.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,708.4812,293.4012,901.46
Equity Value (M)13,204.5513,836.8714,493.64
Shares Outstanding (M)6,800.846,800.846,800.84
Fair Value$1.94$2.03$2.13
Upside / Downside34.83%41.29%48.00%

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