Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Gloria Material Technology Corp. (5009.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$227.30 - $587.70$550.76
Multi-Stage$86.50 - $94.54$90.44
Blended Fair Value$320.60
Current Price$34.65
Upside825.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.04%20.99%2.301.900.980.260.330.290.200.260.410.55
YoY Growth--20.53%95.16%280.45%-21.12%11.37%47.08%-24.60%-35.49%-25.31%59.98%
Dividend Yield--5.11%3.84%1.90%1.01%1.91%1.91%0.96%1.27%2.00%3.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,888.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,466.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)421.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)377.72236.08141.65
Cash Retained (M)421.62421.62421.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-377.72-236.08-141.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.90185.54279.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)639.10639.10639.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.290.44
LTM Dividend per Share2.302.302.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.290.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.362.592.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$227.30$550.76$587.70
Upside / Downside555.98%1,489.49%1,596.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,888.612,011.372,142.112,281.342,429.632,587.562,665.18
Payout Ratio77.68%80.14%82.61%85.07%87.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,466.991,611.921,769.501,940.752,126.782,328.802,465.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,497.961,512.161,526.36
Year 2 PV (M)1,528.141,557.251,586.63
Year 3 PV (M)1,557.541,602.251,647.81
Year 4 PV (M)1,586.171,647.171,709.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,614.051,692.011,772.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,498.1449,792.3252,174.30
Equity Value (M)55,281.9957,803.1460,417.95
Shares Outstanding (M)639.10639.10639.10
Fair Value$86.50$90.44$94.54
Upside / Downside149.64%161.02%172.83%

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