Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Digital Garage, Inc. (4819.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$624.84 - $953.26$778.62
Multi-Stage$1,366.91 - $1,501.79$1,433.04
Blended Fair Value$1,105.83
Current Price$3,615.00
Upside-69.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.00%23.26%41.2237.0835.8432.0838.0428.0523.3520.5230.6325.57
YoY Growth--11.15%3.46%11.74%-15.68%35.61%20.13%13.79%-33.01%19.81%402.19%
Dividend Yield--0.87%1.49%0.93%0.87%0.76%0.82%0.65%0.48%1.45%1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,232.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,428.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)804.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)646.40404.00242.40
Cash Retained (M)804.00804.00804.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-646.40-404.00-242.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.60400.00561.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
LTM Dividend per Share52.8452.8452.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.2761.5465.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$624.84$778.62$953.26
Upside / Downside-82.72%-78.46%-73.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,232.003,199.683,167.683,136.013,104.653,073.603,165.81
Payout Ratio75.12%78.10%81.07%84.05%87.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,428.002,498.922,568.182,635.802,701.812,766.242,928.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,315.642,339.272,362.90
Year 2 PV (M)2,205.272,250.512,296.20
Year 3 PV (M)2,097.342,162.202,228.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,992.182,074.752,159.86
Year 5 PV (M)1,890.091,988.512,090.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)52,312.7855,036.8357,873.20
Equity Value (M)62,813.3165,852.0769,011.53
Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
Fair Value$1,366.91$1,433.04$1,501.79
Upside / Downside-62.19%-60.36%-58.46%

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