Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Hdhms (443060.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49,946.19 - $75,123.27$61,852.94
Multi-Stage$102,160.84 - $112,189.37$107,077.75
Blended Fair Value$84,465.34
Current Price$210,000.00
Upside-59.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%2,234.882,011.341,787.864,246.163,575.720.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.11%12.50%-57.89%18.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)264,473.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)183,799.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)80,673.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52,894.7433,059.2119,835.53
Cash Retained (M)80,673.9580,673.9580,673.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-52,894.74-33,059.21-19,835.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,779.2147,614.7460,838.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.7544.7544.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share620.821,064.111,359.63
LTM Dividend per Share4,107.604,107.604,107.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share620.821,064.111,359.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,728.425,171.715,467.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$49,946.19$61,852.94$75,123.27
Upside / Downside-76.22%-70.55%-64.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)264,473.71261,828.98259,210.69256,618.58254,052.39251,511.87259,057.23
Payout Ratio69.50%73.60%77.70%81.80%85.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)183,799.76192,698.63201,401.13209,910.32218,229.19226,360.68239,627.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)177,811.61179,626.02181,440.42
Year 2 PV (M)171,484.52175,002.06178,555.31
Year 3 PV (M)164,921.90170,022.22175,226.62
Year 4 PV (M)158,211.80164,768.94171,527.82
Year 5 PV (M)151,428.82159,314.07167,524.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,747,457.023,942,595.804,145,780.29
Equity Value (M)4,571,315.674,791,329.115,020,054.90
Shares Outstanding (M)44.7544.7544.75
Fair Value$102,160.84$107,077.75$112,189.37
Upside / Downside-51.35%-49.01%-46.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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