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Aljazira Mawten REIT Fund (4331.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.13 - $13.90$11.37
Multi-Stage$19.77 - $21.73$20.73
Blended Fair Value$16.05
Current Price$14.10
Upside13.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720152014
DPS-4.36%0.00%0.400.340.290.340.300.500.500.300.390.00
YoY Growth--17.44%16.49%-13.50%12.67%-40.00%0.00%66.67%-22.56%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.66%2.02%1.64%1.48%1.31%4.01%3.47%1.71%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.441.520.91
Cash Retained (M)3.453.453.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.44-1.52-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.011.922.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.8011.8011.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.160.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.160.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.830.900.96
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.13$11.37$13.90
Upside / Downside-35.27%-19.39%-1.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.1912.0611.9411.8211.7111.5911.94
Payout Ratio71.72%75.37%79.03%82.69%86.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.749.099.449.7810.1110.4311.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.428.518.59
Year 2 PV (M)8.108.268.43
Year 3 PV (M)7.778.018.25
Year 4 PV (M)7.447.758.07
Year 5 PV (M)7.117.487.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)194.49204.62215.16
Equity Value (M)233.33244.63256.38
Shares Outstanding (M)11.8011.8011.80
Fair Value$19.77$20.73$21.73
Upside / Downside40.24%47.03%54.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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