Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PPB Group Berhad (4065.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.49 - $22.31$14.90
Multi-Stage$15.51 - $17.00$16.24
Blended Fair Value$15.57
Current Price$10.20
Upside52.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.09%7.70%0.420.400.400.490.330.300.280.230.210.20
YoY Growth--5.00%0.70%-18.15%47.78%10.12%7.68%20.40%10.42%4.17%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.65%2.53%2.40%2.84%1.78%1.82%1.51%1.44%1.49%1.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)821.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)597.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)164.26102.6661.60
Cash Retained (M)223.82223.82223.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-164.26-102.66-61.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.56121.16162.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,422.601,422.601,422.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.510.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.82%2.82%3.82%
Fair Value$10.49$14.90$22.31
Upside / Downside2.80%46.12%118.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)821.31844.50868.34892.85918.06943.98972.30
Payout Ratio72.75%76.20%79.65%83.10%86.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)597.49643.50691.63741.96794.58849.58899.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.82%2.82%3.82%
Year 1 PV (M)599.43605.31611.20
Year 2 PV (M)600.13611.98623.94
Year 3 PV (M)599.71617.56635.75
Year 4 PV (M)598.26622.11646.67
Year 5 PV (M)595.86625.70656.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,067.0920,021.9521,014.69
Equity Value (M)22,060.4923,104.6224,188.98
Shares Outstanding (M)1,422.601,422.601,422.60
Fair Value$15.51$16.24$17.00
Upside / Downside52.03%59.23%66.70%

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