Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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WPG Holdings Limited (3702.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$233.11 - $849.49$728.48
Multi-Stage$128.62 - $140.65$134.53
Blended Fair Value$431.50
Current Price$70.20
Upside514.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.72%5.12%3.483.813.483.112.302.512.432.322.202.30
YoY Growth---8.56%9.36%11.98%35.23%-8.57%3.50%4.83%5.15%-4.00%8.70%
Dividend Yield--5.61%4.11%6.93%5.55%4.71%7.08%5.97%5.56%5.32%6.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,748.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,276.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,471.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,549.67968.55581.13
Cash Retained (M)1,471.671,471.671,471.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,549.67-968.55-581.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-78.01503.12890.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,803.601,803.601,803.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.280.49
LTM Dividend per Share3.483.483.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.280.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.443.763.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate4.88%5.88%6.88%
Fair Value$233.11$728.48$849.49
Upside / Downside232.06%937.72%1,110.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,748.378,204.358,687.179,198.409,739.7110,312.8910,622.27
Payout Ratio81.01%82.81%84.60%86.40%88.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,276.706,793.647,349.697,947.668,590.569,281.609,825.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate4.88%5.88%6.88%
Year 1 PV (M)6,322.846,383.136,443.41
Year 2 PV (M)6,366.326,488.306,611.43
Year 3 PV (M)6,407.206,592.226,780.76
Year 4 PV (M)6,445.556,694.906,951.42
Year 5 PV (M)6,481.436,796.367,123.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)199,964.04209,680.10219,770.22
Equity Value (M)231,987.40242,635.01253,680.66
Shares Outstanding (M)1,803.601,803.601,803.60
Fair Value$128.62$134.53$140.65
Upside / Downside83.23%91.64%100.36%

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