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Definitive Analysis

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Lelon Electronics Corp. (2472.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$195.63 - $666.06$320.97
Multi-Stage$186.90 - $204.68$195.63
Blended Fair Value$258.30
Current Price$87.00
Upside196.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.13%3.86%2.794.514.063.501.452.642.842.152.121.77
YoY Growth---38.22%11.15%15.85%141.50%-44.95%-7.11%31.80%1.60%19.47%-7.10%
Dividend Yield--3.47%6.01%6.19%5.38%1.93%9.72%7.11%4.05%5.56%4.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,194.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)663.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)531.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)238.92149.3289.59
Cash Retained (M)531.12531.12531.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-238.92-149.32-89.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)292.20381.80441.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.48165.48165.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.772.312.67
LTM Dividend per Share4.014.014.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.772.312.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.786.326.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.62%4.62%5.62%
Fair Value$195.63$320.97$666.06
Upside / Downside124.87%268.93%665.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,194.591,249.741,307.441,367.801,430.941,497.001,541.91
Payout Ratio55.54%62.43%69.32%76.22%83.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)663.47780.24906.361,042.481,189.231,347.301,426.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.62%4.62%5.62%
Year 1 PV (M)724.42731.41738.40
Year 2 PV (M)781.32796.48811.78
Year 3 PV (M)834.37858.76883.62
Year 4 PV (M)883.73918.35953.97
Year 5 PV (M)929.58975.311,022.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,773.8428,090.9929,459.47
Equity Value (M)30,927.2732,371.3033,870.07
Shares Outstanding (M)165.48165.48165.48
Fair Value$186.90$195.63$204.68
Upside / Downside114.83%124.86%135.27%

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