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Definitive Analysis

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ST Pharm Co.,Ltd. (237690.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,072.97 - $18,820.59$15,877.11
Multi-Stage$21,160.44 - $23,243.22$22,181.65
Blended Fair Value$19,029.38
Current Price$89,500.00
Upside-78.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.16%0.00%471.06471.06471.060.000.00467.23467.23462.93147.5352.48
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.93%213.79%181.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.52%0.64%0.00%0.00%1.49%2.10%1.05%0.36%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,893.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,076.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)26,817.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,378.724,611.702,767.02
Cash Retained (M)26,817.1326,817.1326,817.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,378.72-4,611.70-2,767.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,438.4222,205.4324,050.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share973.651,112.251,204.64
LTM Dividend per Share504.72504.72504.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share973.651,112.251,204.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,478.371,616.961,709.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13,072.97$15,877.11$18,820.59
Upside / Downside-85.39%-82.26%-78.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,893.5836,524.6436,159.3935,797.8035,439.8235,085.4236,137.99
Payout Ratio27.31%39.85%52.39%64.92%77.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,076.4414,554.9818,942.9423,241.6827,452.5531,576.8833,427.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13,208.3313,343.1013,477.88
Year 2 PV (M)15,599.8215,919.8116,243.05
Year 3 PV (M)17,369.0517,906.2018,454.31
Year 4 PV (M)18,617.7619,389.3820,184.74
Year 5 PV (M)19,433.4620,445.4021,499.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)338,229.34355,841.73374,180.28
Equity Value (M)422,457.75442,845.62464,039.33
Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
Fair Value$21,160.44$22,181.65$23,243.22
Upside / Downside-76.36%-75.22%-74.03%

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