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Definitive Analysis

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Hecto Innovation Co., Ltd. (214180.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$98,047.52 - $504,740.44$199,633.57
Multi-Stage$54,104.29 - $59,185.97$56,598.65
Blended Fair Value$128,116.11
Current Price$14,380.00
Upside790.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.82%0.00%478.75620.05599.11486.71252.56286.42277.67241.44163.200.00
YoY Growth---22.79%3.49%23.09%92.71%-11.82%3.15%15.01%47.94%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.10%4.63%4.58%2.67%1.46%2.70%1.27%1.01%0.84%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,798.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,315.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,482.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,159.673,849.802,309.88
Cash Retained (M)23,482.6023,482.6023,482.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,159.67-3,849.80-2,309.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,322.9319,632.8021,172.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.1412.1412.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,427.521,617.871,744.76
LTM Dividend per Share602.87602.87602.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,427.521,617.871,744.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,030.382,220.732,347.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$98,047.52$199,633.57$504,740.44
Upside / Downside581.83%1,288.27%3,410.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,798.3732,800.2634,932.2837,202.8839,621.0642,196.4343,462.32
Payout Ratio23.75%37.00%50.25%63.50%76.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,315.7712,137.0817,554.2623,624.3830,409.4637,976.7940,202.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11,165.1111,270.9411,376.77
Year 2 PV (M)14,855.2515,138.2015,423.82
Year 3 PV (M)18,391.0718,919.0119,456.96
Year 4 PV (M)21,777.3022,614.7923,476.21
Year 5 PV (M)25,018.5626,226.9627,481.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)565,348.23592,654.76621,006.38
Equity Value (M)656,555.52686,824.67718,221.77
Shares Outstanding (M)12.1412.1412.14
Fair Value$54,104.29$56,598.65$59,185.97
Upside / Downside276.25%293.59%311.59%

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