Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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JDC Corporation (1887.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$588.88 - $3,096.46$1,180.12
Multi-Stage$1,466.41 - $1,619.09$1,541.23
Blended Fair Value$1,360.67
Current Price$468.00
Upside190.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-13.31%19.79%22.5827.2428.3528.7430.7946.1313.127.498.116.24
YoY Growth---17.10%-3.91%-1.34%-6.67%-33.24%251.66%75.21%-7.68%29.94%68.12%
Dividend Yield--4.83%5.63%4.63%4.75%5.35%7.94%2.56%1.20%1.30%1.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,333.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)421.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)912.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)266.60166.6399.98
Cash Retained (M)912.00912.00912.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-266.60-166.63-99.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)645.40745.38812.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.2880.2880.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.049.2810.12
LTM Dividend per Share5.245.245.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.049.2810.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.2814.5315.36
WACC / Discount Rate1.03%1.03%1.03%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Fair Value$588.88$1,180.12$3,096.46
Upside / Downside25.83%152.16%561.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,333.001,330.341,327.681,325.031,322.381,319.741,359.33
Payout Ratio31.58%43.27%54.95%66.63%78.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)421.00575.59729.56882.911,035.641,187.761,257.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.03%1.03%1.03%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)564.02569.73575.43
Year 2 PV (M)700.52714.77729.17
Year 3 PV (M)830.72856.21882.20
Year 4 PV (M)954.84994.091,034.54
Year 5 PV (M)1,073.081,128.501,186.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)113,597.85119,464.27125,570.59
Equity Value (M)117,721.03123,727.56129,978.11
Shares Outstanding (M)80.2880.2880.28
Fair Value$1,466.41$1,541.23$1,619.09
Upside / Downside213.34%229.32%245.96%

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