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SUNeVision Holdings Ltd. (1686.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.35 - $92.36$86.55
Multi-Stage$14.02 - $15.34$14.66
Blended Fair Value$50.61
Current Price$7.56
Upside569.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-7.66%-0.32%0.110.110.210.190.170.160.150.140.130.12
YoY Growth---1.33%-46.15%7.24%10.96%6.22%9.36%10.29%8.74%2.86%6.89%
Dividend Yield--1.46%4.41%5.20%3.24%2.20%2.71%2.19%2.93%2.54%4.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,886.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)903.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)983.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)377.32235.83141.50
Cash Retained (M)983.41983.41983.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-377.32-235.83-141.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)606.09747.59841.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,062.404,062.404,062.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42.35$86.55$92.36
Upside / Downside460.21%1,044.89%1,121.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,886.602,009.232,139.832,278.922,427.052,584.812,662.35
Payout Ratio47.87%56.30%64.72%73.15%81.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)903.191,131.181,384.991,667.021,979.862,326.332,462.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,052.911,062.891,072.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,199.951,222.801,245.87
Year 3 PV (M)1,344.351,382.941,422.27
Year 4 PV (M)1,486.151,543.311,602.09
Year 5 PV (M)1,625.391,703.901,785.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,230.9652,657.1455,176.16
Equity Value (M)56,939.7159,572.9762,304.67
Shares Outstanding (M)4,062.404,062.404,062.40
Fair Value$14.02$14.66$15.34
Upside / Downside85.40%93.97%102.87%

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