Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Motrex Co., Ltd (118990.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31,252.27 - $137,183.85$74,514.12
Multi-Stage$19,379.51 - $21,225.23$20,285.29
Blended Fair Value$47,399.71
Current Price$8,120.00
Upside483.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS22.67%0.00%162.40242.970.0058.4658.4658.460.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---33.16%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.88%1.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,192.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,133.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,059.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,438.582,149.121,289.47
Cash Retained (M)11,059.4611,059.4611,059.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,438.58-2,149.12-1,289.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,620.888,910.359,770.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.7324.7324.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share308.12360.26395.01
LTM Dividend per Share247.98247.98247.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share308.12360.26395.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend556.11608.24643.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Fair Value$31,252.27$74,514.12$137,183.85
Upside / Downside284.88%817.66%1,589.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,192.9218,168.6319,199.7020,289.2921,440.7222,657.4923,337.21
Payout Ratio35.67%46.54%57.40%68.27%79.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,133.468,455.5811,021.5113,851.4416,967.0820,391.7421,586.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Year 1 PV (M)7,861.607,936.708,011.81
Year 2 PV (M)9,527.449,710.359,895.00
Year 3 PV (M)11,132.6311,454.7611,783.03
Year 4 PV (M)12,678.7913,170.2813,675.92
Year 5 PV (M)14,167.4714,857.2615,573.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)423,950.41444,591.84466,029.54
Equity Value (M)479,318.35501,721.19524,968.96
Shares Outstanding (M)24.7324.7324.73
Fair Value$19,379.51$20,285.29$21,225.23
Upside / Downside138.66%149.82%161.39%

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