Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TCL Electronics Holdings Limited (1070.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$140.99 - $166.25$155.74
Multi-Stage$83.98 - $92.55$88.18
Blended Fair Value$121.96
Current Price$9.54
Upside1,178.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.01%0.00%0.210.130.170.110.190.180.220.020.000.03
YoY Growth--65.87%-23.58%50.32%-41.58%4.19%-18.85%991.07%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.24%3.54%4.99%3.28%3.13%5.56%4.99%0.56%0.00%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,199.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)403.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,796.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)439.97274.98164.99
Cash Retained (M)1,796.521,796.521,796.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-439.97-274.98-164.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,356.541,521.531,631.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.760.81
WACC / Discount Rate1.44%1.44%1.44%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Fair Value$140.99$155.74$166.25
Upside / Downside1,377.92%1,532.48%1,642.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,199.872,244.022,289.052,334.992,381.862,429.662,502.55
Payout Ratio18.34%32.67%47.00%61.33%75.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)403.35733.081,075.881,432.151,802.282,186.692,314.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.44%1.44%1.44%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Year 1 PV (M)715.56722.65729.73
Year 2 PV (M)1,025.091,045.481,066.08
Year 3 PV (M)1,331.931,371.881,412.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,636.121,701.881,769.60
Year 5 PV (M)1,937.672,035.502,137.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)205,123.48215,480.46226,251.64
Equity Value (M)211,769.85222,357.86233,366.93
Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
Fair Value$83.98$88.18$92.55
Upside / Downside780.33%824.35%870.11%

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