Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Epiroc AB (publ) (0YSU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$243.90 - $1,419.28$452.54
Multi-Stage$146.85 - $160.37$153.49
Blended Fair Value$303.01
Current Price$198.40
Upside52.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.72%0.00%3.803.403.002.502.402.090.004.290.310.25
YoY Growth--11.89%13.37%19.99%4.29%14.63%0.00%-100.00%1,262.63%27.09%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.89%1.67%1.46%1.24%1.23%2.16%0.00%4.79%0.35%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,616.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,592.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,024.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,723.201,077.00646.20
Cash Retained (M)4,024.004,024.004,024.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,723.20-1,077.00-646.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,300.802,947.003,377.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,207.301,207.301,207.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.912.442.80
LTM Dividend per Share3.803.803.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.912.442.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.716.246.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$243.90$452.54$1,419.28
Upside / Downside22.93%128.09%615.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,616.009,176.049,772.4810,407.6911,084.1911,804.6712,158.81
Payout Ratio53.30%60.64%67.98%75.32%82.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,592.005,564.076,643.117,838.929,162.1110,624.2011,246.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,104.985,153.375,201.76
Year 2 PV (M)5,592.095,698.615,806.13
Year 3 PV (M)6,054.256,228.056,405.14
Year 4 PV (M)6,492.346,742.026,998.83
Year 5 PV (M)6,907.227,240.857,587.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)147,136.65154,243.40161,622.15
Equity Value (M)177,287.54185,306.29193,621.23
Shares Outstanding (M)1,207.301,207.301,207.30
Fair Value$146.85$153.49$160.37
Upside / Downside-25.99%-22.64%-19.17%

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