Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Reply S.p.A. (0RV0.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$467.20 - $1,458.55$1,366.88
Multi-Stage$196.69 - $215.17$205.76
Blended Fair Value$786.32
Current Price$146.60
Upside436.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.24%17.81%1.001.000.800.560.540.450.370.310.270.24
YoY Growth--0.00%25.26%42.32%4.07%19.37%22.41%19.06%13.58%13.47%23.78%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.84%0.75%0.31%0.57%0.65%0.82%0.67%0.92%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)273.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)117.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)156.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.7334.2120.52
Cash Retained (M)156.19156.19156.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.73-34.21-20.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)101.46121.98135.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.3137.3137.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.723.273.64
LTM Dividend per Share3.153.153.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.723.273.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.876.426.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$467.20$1,366.88$1,458.55
Upside / Downside218.69%832.38%894.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)273.65291.44310.38330.55352.04374.92386.17
Payout Ratio42.92%52.34%61.75%71.17%80.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)117.46152.53191.67235.25283.69337.43357.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)141.45142.79144.13
Year 2 PV (M)164.82167.96171.13
Year 3 PV (M)187.60192.98198.47
Year 4 PV (M)209.78217.85226.15
Year 5 PV (M)231.39242.56254.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,404.056,713.377,034.53
Equity Value (M)7,339.097,677.518,028.57
Shares Outstanding (M)37.3137.3137.31
Fair Value$196.69$205.76$215.17
Upside / Downside34.17%40.36%46.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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