Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Catella AB (publ) (0RL4.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.70 - $21.65$18.04
Multi-Stage$34.46 - $37.96$36.18
Blended Fair Value$27.11
Current Price$31.15
Upside-12.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.11%0.00%0.911.201.000.910.001.180.950.740.550.18
YoY Growth---24.53%20.45%10.00%0.00%-100.00%23.81%29.23%32.65%206.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.89%3.93%2.85%1.96%0.00%6.92%3.67%3.49%2.93%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)169.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)89.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.8021.1312.68
Cash Retained (M)89.0089.0089.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.80-21.13-12.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.2067.8876.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.3588.3588.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.770.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.770.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.531.671.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate-3.28%-2.28%-1.28%
Fair Value$14.70$18.04$21.65
Upside / Downside-52.80%-42.09%-30.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)169.00165.14161.38157.69154.09150.58155.10
Payout Ratio47.34%55.87%64.40%72.93%81.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.0092.27103.93115.01125.54135.52143.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate-3.28%-2.28%-1.28%
Year 1 PV (M)85.5286.4087.29
Year 2 PV (M)89.2991.1493.02
Year 3 PV (M)91.5894.4597.38
Year 4 PV (M)92.6596.55100.56
Year 5 PV (M)92.7197.60102.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,593.152,730.012,872.59
Equity Value (M)3,044.913,196.163,353.54
Shares Outstanding (M)88.3588.3588.35
Fair Value$34.46$36.18$37.96
Upside / Downside10.64%16.14%21.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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