Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Swissquote Group Holding Ltd (0QLD.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$709.86 - $1,518.05$1,010.71
Multi-Stage$512.28 - $559.78$535.60
Blended Fair Value$773.15
Current Price$449.40
Upside72.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.03%22.21%4.272.182.201.480.990.990.870.560.590.59
YoY Growth--96.36%-0.89%47.91%49.86%0.26%13.56%54.09%-4.91%-0.17%3.43%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.06%1.64%0.74%1.15%2.04%1.92%1.48%2.49%2.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)563.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)499.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.7070.4342.26
Cash Retained (M)499.21499.21499.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.70-70.43-42.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)386.52428.78456.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.0415.0415.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share25.6928.5030.38
LTM Dividend per Share4.274.274.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share25.6928.5030.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.9732.7834.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$709.86$1,010.71$1,518.05
Upside / Downside57.96%124.90%237.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)563.48600.11639.11680.65724.90772.02795.18
Payout Ratio11.41%27.12%42.84%58.56%74.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64.27162.78273.82398.61538.46694.81735.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)146.65148.04149.43
Year 2 PV (M)222.25226.49230.76
Year 3 PV (M)291.49299.86308.38
Year 4 PV (M)354.75368.40382.43
Year 5 PV (M)412.42432.33453.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,278.536,581.796,896.65
Equity Value (M)7,706.098,056.908,420.67
Shares Outstanding (M)15.0415.0415.04
Fair Value$512.28$535.60$559.78
Upside / Downside13.99%19.18%24.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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