Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Swisscom AG (0QKI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$216.04 - $330.53$269.55
Multi-Stage$485.28 - $532.85$508.61
Blended Fair Value$389.08
Current Price$562.50
Upside-30.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%22.0022.0022.0022.0022.0022.0022.0022.0022.0022.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.32%4.21%3.77%3.96%4.34%4.23%4.49%4.65%4.76%4.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,248.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,140.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)249.60156.0093.60
Cash Retained (M)108.00108.00108.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-249.60-156.00-93.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)-141.60-48.0014.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.8251.8251.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share-2.73-0.930.28
LTM Dividend per Share22.0022.0022.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-2.73-0.930.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.2721.0722.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$216.04$269.55$330.53
Upside / Downside-61.59%-52.08%-41.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,248.001,235.521,223.161,210.931,198.821,186.841,222.44
Payout Ratio91.35%91.08%90.81%90.54%90.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,140.001,125.271,110.731,096.361,082.171,068.151,130.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,043.571,054.221,064.87
Year 2 PV (M)955.29974.88994.68
Year 3 PV (M)874.47901.51929.10
Year 4 PV (M)800.48833.65867.85
Year 5 PV (M)732.74770.89810.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,739.5721,819.5322,944.01
Equity Value (M)25,146.1026,354.6827,611.13
Shares Outstanding (M)51.8251.8251.82
Fair Value$485.28$508.61$532.85
Upside / Downside-13.73%-9.58%-5.27%

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