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NOV Inc. (0K58.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.46 - $19.66$15.75
Multi-Stage$32.60 - $35.97$34.25
Blended Fair Value$25.00
Current Price$15.51
Upside61.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.52%-9.39%0.200.050.050.190.190.190.581.801.780.98
YoY Growth--290.00%5.26%-75.32%1.32%0.00%-66.96%-67.61%1.00%80.72%86.12%
Dividend Yield--1.07%0.26%0.35%2.01%0.71%0.53%1.54%4.76%4.71%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)499.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)420.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)99.8062.3837.43
Cash Retained (M)420.00420.00420.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-99.80-62.38-37.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)320.20357.63382.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)395.50395.50395.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.810.900.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.810.900.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.011.101.17
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate-2.18%-1.18%-0.18%
Fair Value$12.46$15.75$19.66
Upside / Downside-19.69%1.54%26.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)499.00493.09487.25481.48475.78470.15484.25
Payout Ratio15.83%30.67%45.50%60.33%75.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79.00151.21221.69290.49357.63423.13447.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate-2.18%-1.18%-0.18%
Year 1 PV (M)141.55143.00144.44
Year 2 PV (M)194.28198.27202.30
Year 3 PV (M)238.30245.69253.22
Year 4 PV (M)274.64286.04297.80
Year 5 PV (M)304.19320.06336.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,741.9312,354.5312,992.44
Equity Value (M)12,894.8913,547.5914,226.80
Shares Outstanding (M)395.50395.50395.50
Fair Value$32.60$34.25$35.97
Upside / Downside110.21%120.85%131.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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