Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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technotrans SE (0JMU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.13 - $48.71$36.97
Multi-Stage$45.20 - $49.60$47.36
Blended Fair Value$42.16
Current Price$21.50
Upside96.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.76%12.67%0.620.640.510.360.000.880.880.550.450.31
YoY Growth---3.12%25.49%41.66%0.00%-100.00%0.00%60.02%21.14%45.79%65.59%
Dividend Yield--3.34%2.94%2.01%1.22%0.00%4.71%3.50%1.22%1.98%1.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.021.891.13
Cash Retained (M)7.157.157.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.02-1.89-1.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.135.266.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.906.906.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.760.87
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.760.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.751.912.02
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Fair Value$28.13$36.97$48.71
Upside / Downside30.82%71.95%126.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.0915.3515.6215.8916.1716.4516.95
Payout Ratio52.64%60.12%67.59%75.06%82.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.949.2310.5611.9313.3514.8115.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)8.548.628.71
Year 2 PV (M)9.049.229.40
Year 3 PV (M)9.459.7310.02
Year 4 PV (M)9.7810.1810.58
Year 5 PV (M)10.0410.5511.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)265.04278.46292.41
Equity Value (M)311.90326.77342.21
Shares Outstanding (M)6.906.906.90
Fair Value$45.20$47.36$49.60
Upside / Downside110.24%120.27%130.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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