Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Synergie SE (0HDQ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.73 - $82.38$66.39
Multi-Stage$113.44 - $125.05$119.13
Blended Fair Value$92.76
Current Price$32.00
Upside189.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.820.830.830.000.830.830.620.620.42
YoY Growth---100.00%-1.36%-0.02%0.00%-100.00%-0.06%33.31%0.04%49.97%33.20%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.33%2.77%2.29%0.00%2.85%3.41%1.40%1.78%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)114.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.2515.789.47
Cash Retained (M)114.83114.83114.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.25-15.78-9.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.5899.05105.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.0523.0523.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.894.304.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.894.304.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.384.795.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-1.72%-0.72%0.28%
Fair Value$52.73$66.39$82.38
Upside / Downside64.77%107.45%157.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126.26125.35124.45123.56122.67121.79125.45
Payout Ratio9.05%25.24%41.43%57.62%73.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.4331.6451.5671.2090.55109.61116.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-1.72%-0.72%0.28%
Year 1 PV (M)29.4329.7330.03
Year 2 PV (M)44.5945.5146.43
Year 3 PV (M)57.2659.0360.83
Year 4 PV (M)67.7270.5273.40
Year 5 PV (M)76.2480.2084.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,339.932,461.422,587.91
Equity Value (M)2,615.172,746.392,882.91
Shares Outstanding (M)23.0523.0523.05
Fair Value$113.44$119.13$125.05
Upside / Downside254.49%272.28%290.79%

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