Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Nexus AG (0FGL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.39 - $80.09$53.26
Multi-Stage$26.98 - $29.48$28.20
Blended Fair Value$40.73
Current Price$71.90
Upside-43.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.25%7.70%0.220.210.180.170.160.160.150.140.130.11
YoY Growth--4.92%14.81%5.35%5.57%5.94%6.23%6.83%7.08%12.29%8.46%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.38%0.33%0.32%0.30%0.56%0.61%0.54%0.63%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.794.242.55
Cash Retained (M)29.9929.9929.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.79-4.24-2.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.1925.7427.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.2517.2517.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.491.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.491.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.581.721.82
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37.39$53.26$80.09
Upside / Downside-48.00%-25.92%11.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.9636.1638.5141.0243.6846.5247.92
Payout Ratio11.69%27.35%43.02%58.68%74.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.979.8916.5724.0732.4741.8744.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.919.009.08
Year 2 PV (M)13.4513.7013.96
Year 3 PV (M)17.6018.1118.62
Year 4 PV (M)21.4022.2223.07
Year 5 PV (M)24.8626.0627.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)378.99397.30416.30
Equity Value (M)465.22486.39508.35
Shares Outstanding (M)17.2517.2517.25
Fair Value$26.98$28.20$29.48
Upside / Downside-62.48%-60.77%-59.00%

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