Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $752,410.15 - $2,715,146.09 | $2,393,944.34 |
| Multi-Stage | $344,204.82 - $376,592.67 | $360,102.03 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,377,023.19 | |
| Current Price | $87,200.00 | |
| Upside | 1,479.16% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 13.39% | 25.63% | 3,891.80 | 4,835.85 | 3,227.28 | 2,067.47 | 2,117.90 | 2,076.65 | 1,695.27 | 1,126.27 | 767.91 | 604.82 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -19.52% | 49.84% | 56.10% | -2.38% | 1.99% | 22.50% | 50.52% | 46.67% | 26.97% | 52.21% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.53% | 8.57% | 7.93% | 4.25% | 4.95% | 8.99% | 4.51% | 2.46% | 2.08% | 2.44% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,946,935.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,341,315.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,605,620.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 789,387.00 | 493,366.88 | 296,020.13 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,605,620.00 | 2,605,620.00 | 2,605,620.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -789,387.00 | -493,366.88 | -296,020.13 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,816,233.00 | 2,112,253.13 | 2,309,599.88 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 289.10 | 289.10 | 289.10 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 6,282.39 | 7,306.33 | 7,988.95 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 4,639.64 | 4,639.64 | 4,639.64 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 6,282.39 | 7,306.33 | 7,988.95 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 10,922.02 | 11,945.96 | 12,628.59 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $752,410.15 | $2,393,944.34 | $2,715,146.09 |
| Upside / Downside | 762.86% | 2,645.35% | 3,013.70% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,946,935.00 | 4,203,485.78 | 4,476,712.35 | 4,767,698.65 | 5,077,599.07 | 5,407,643.00 | 5,569,872.30 |
| Payout Ratio | 33.98% | 45.19% | 56.39% | 67.59% | 78.80% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,341,315.00 | 1,899,427.82 | 2,524,428.25 | 3,222,653.65 | 4,000,982.65 | 4,866,878.70 | 5,152,131.87 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,757,981.36 | 1,774,644.69 | 1,791,308.02 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,162,449.50 | 2,203,638.09 | 2,245,215.25 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,554,983.20 | 2,628,327.58 | 2,703,062.34 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,935,841.16 | 3,048,745.32 | 3,164,875.08 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 3,305,277.14 | 3,464,923.27 | 3,630,679.42 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 86,792,822.92 | 90,984,948.72 | 95,337,517.04 |
| Equity Value (M) | 99,509,355.28 | 104,105,227.67 | 108,872,657.16 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 289.10 | 289.10 | 289.10 |
| Fair Value | $344,204.82 | $360,102.03 | $376,592.67 |
| Upside / Downside | 294.73% | 312.96% | 331.87% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORA | Ormat Technologies, Inc. | 0.42% | $0.48 | 21.81% |
| VLTO | Veralto Corporation | 0.42% | $0.42 | 11.39% |
| CEG | Constellation Energy Corporation | 0.41% | $1.52 | 17.38% |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. | 0.41% | $1.15 | 10.88% |
| GE | GE Aerospace | 0.40% | $1.29 | 17.08% |
| GEHCV | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. | 0.40% | $0.23 | 5.05% |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. | 0.39% | $0.20 | 8.42% |
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | 0.39% | $0.12 | 0.85% |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorporated | 0.39% | $0.43 | 7.61% |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products Company | 0.39% | $0.83 | 11.03% |
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | 0.38% | $1.03 | 13.77% |
| AMOT | Allied Motion Technologies Inc. | 0.38% | $0.12 | 21.85% |
| CASY | Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 0.38% | $2.09 | 12.85% |
| EA | Electronic Arts Inc. | 0.38% | $0.77 | 21.92% |
| LOB | Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | 0.37% | $0.13 | 8.44% |
| PCG-PA | Pacific Gas and Electric Company | 0.37% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.36% | $0.16 | 8.09% |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.36% | $0.43 | 12.45% |
| LCORX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| LCRIX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund Class Institutional | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | 0.36% | $0.18 | 17.87% |
| BOX | Box, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.10 | 6.61% |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.31 | 47.04% |
| MCK | McKesson Corporation | 0.35% | $2.91 | 8.98% |
| CSWI | CSW Industrials, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.02 | 11.93% |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc. | 0.34% | $0.85 | 11.59% |
| SRBK | SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock | 0.34% | $0.05 | 9.61% |
| VHAQ-UN | Viveon Health Acquisition Corp. | 0.34% | $0.04 | 17.38% |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.05 | 14.70% |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | 0.33% | $1.08 | 12.72% |
| PJT | PJT Partners Inc. | 0.33% | $0.56 | 13.70% |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 0.33% | $2.59 | 6.06% |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings Inc. | 0.32% | $1.16 | 11.15% |
| META | Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.31% | $2.04 | 8.98% |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | 0.30% | $0.34 | 8.52% |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | 0.30% | $1.05 | 7.31% |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | 0.30% | $0.29 | 2.59% |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 0.30% | $0.83 | 12.34% |
| CASH | Pathward Financial, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.21 | 2.52% |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.10 | 6.71% |
| PLUS | ePlus inc. | 0.29% | $0.25 | 5.41% |
| RVTY | Revvity, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.28 | 14.01% |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 0.28% | $1.65 | 9.48% |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology, Inc. | 0.27% | $0.24 | 8.33% |
| VNT | Vontier Corporation | 0.27% | $0.10 | 3.64% |
| DBRG | DigitalBridge Group, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.04 | 9.84% |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.16 | 7.44% |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc. | 0.26% | $0.82 | 8.01% |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.29 | 10.22% |
| USB-PA | U.S. Bancorp PERP PFD SER A | 0.26% | $2.02 | 43.68% |