Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HANA Micron Inc. (067310.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,449.46 - $5,300.42$4,311.82
Multi-Stage$5,978.08 - $6,568.15$6,267.41
Blended Fair Value$5,289.62
Current Price$22,150.00
Upside-76.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS1.09%0.00%82.86105.50136.14135.5268.6278.490.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---21.46%-22.51%0.46%97.49%-12.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.71%0.41%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,609.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,448.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,161.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,321.932,701.211,620.72
Cash Retained (M)14,161.4614,161.4614,161.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,321.93-2,701.21-1,620.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,839.5311,460.2612,540.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
LTM Dividend per Share129.11129.11129.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend299.67327.76346.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Fair Value$3,449.46$4,311.82$5,300.42
Upside / Downside-84.43%-80.53%-76.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,609.6721,628.9021,648.1521,667.4221,686.7121,706.0122,357.19
Payout Ratio34.47%45.57%56.68%67.79%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,448.209,857.0712,270.2114,687.6517,109.3819,535.4120,680.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Year 1 PV (M)9,061.139,152.579,244.02
Year 2 PV (M)10,368.6310,578.9610,791.41
Year 3 PV (M)11,409.2211,758.1412,114.11
Year 4 PV (M)12,217.2212,717.9213,233.85
Year 5 PV (M)12,823.1713,483.4114,170.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)288,994.51303,874.40319,360.99
Equity Value (M)344,873.88361,565.41378,914.95
Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
Fair Value$5,978.08$6,267.41$6,568.15
Upside / Downside-73.01%-71.70%-70.35%

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