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Definitive Analysis

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AhnLab, Inc. (053800.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176,036.34 - $906,461.05$358,345.54
Multi-Stage$97,567.96 - $106,708.67$102,054.81
Blended Fair Value$230,200.17
Current Price$68,300.00
Upside237.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.63%20.61%1,178.99997.61997.61816.23816.23816.23725.53634.84453.46272.03
YoY Growth--18.18%0.00%22.22%0.00%0.00%12.50%14.29%40.00%66.70%50.35%
Dividend Yield--1.58%1.45%1.61%0.66%1.25%1.43%1.37%0.74%0.31%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)43,652.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,440.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,212.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,730.515,456.573,273.94
Cash Retained (M)31,212.5531,212.5531,212.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,730.51-5,456.57-3,273.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,482.0325,755.9727,938.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.589.589.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,347.442,689.292,917.18
LTM Dividend per Share1,298.911,298.911,298.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,347.442,689.292,917.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,646.353,988.204,216.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$176,036.34$358,345.54$906,461.05
Upside / Downside157.74%424.66%1,227.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)43,652.5746,489.9849,511.8352,730.1056,157.5659,807.8061,602.03
Payout Ratio28.50%40.80%53.10%65.40%77.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,440.0218,967.0926,290.1334,485.0243,634.1753,827.0256,981.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17,448.0717,613.4517,778.83
Year 2 PV (M)22,247.7322,671.4823,099.24
Year 3 PV (M)26,845.4027,616.0428,401.28
Year 4 PV (M)31,247.3132,448.9933,685.01
Year 5 PV (M)35,459.5137,172.2138,950.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)801,184.70839,882.23880,060.79
Equity Value (M)934,432.72977,404.401,021,975.62
Shares Outstanding (M)9.589.589.58
Fair Value$97,567.96$102,054.81$106,708.67
Upside / Downside42.85%49.42%56.24%

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